Honestly, after sitting through that one at Verizon Center, I'm not sure I could even handle another game, let alone another series. Well, that's a lie, of course, but man, that was intense. Who's to blame? The refs, for missing some key calls throughout the series that always seemed to go Cleveland's way? Antawn, for letting LeBron just waltz to the basket for the winning shot in game five? Gilbert, for missing both of those humongous free throws last night, not to mention not calling time out in game five? Nah, none of them. No one's to blame, really. They lost three games by one point. Sometimes in sports -- much more often than we probably like to admit -- it just comes down to luck. That's not to say Damon Jones was lucky when he hit that shot -- to sit on the bench for 52 minutes and a half minutes and come in and nail the game winner, that's not lucky. Hell, Gilbert was probably more lucky when he drained that three from approximately Georgetown to force overtime. It's a more general kind of luck, where if you play enough one-point games, eventually things will even out. Remember the Nationals last year? (Of course you don't, I realize that.)
Anyway, I'm not trying to say the Cavs weren't the better team; I think this series pretty well illustrated that they were as equal as could be. And I'm not trying to say that Gilbert didn't choke last night -- that was the classic definition of a choke, especially after LeBron came up and said to him that if he missed, the game was over. (More on LeBron later, but Jesus Christ does this guy have a lot to learn about how to not make everyone who isn't a fan of his team want to see him kicked in the balls.) But if Antawn Jamison's layup that was in the basket earlier in the game doesn't defy gravity and come out, or if Caron Butler's jumper a few minutes later doesn't do the same thing, perhaps everything would have been different and we'd all be getting psyched for game seven tomorrow. Point being -- and I know this will probably enrage MZ who will probably ask, "So why do you even bother?!" -- but there's so much more dumb luck involved in these outcomes than we probably want to admit. (On a side note, we just watched Match Point last night -- I give it a somewhat enthusiastic "meh" -- and this was one of the main themes, but my "theory" was certainly more influenced by Baseball Prospectus than Woody Allen.)
This series was interesting for me because it was the first time in "my adult life" that I've actually heavily invested in a professional sports team. There was last year, of course, but after we were at MCI to see the Wiz cut the Bulls' lead to 2-1, we were off to Italy. I watched the highlight of Gilbert hitting the shot over Kirk Hinrich dozens of times on CNN International, but by the time we got back and it was onto the Heat, everyone knew we'd be lucky to take a single game. But I've found that I've definitely mellowed from the "throwing shit all over the place days" of Terps basketball ball 01-02. There's a definite difference between following your college team while your in school and following a professional team. I mean, it's pretty obvious. When everyone's a millionaire and you see Gilbert and Larry Hughes joking with each other in the final, tense seconds, it's hard to let yourself get too worked up.
It's really too bad that those missed free throws will be the lasting image of Gilbert in the offseason. He deserves better, and honestly, maybe we'll look back a few years from now at this moment and see how it inspired him. Sure, it would have been great to win this game and then hopefully go to Cleveland and shove it down LeBron's throat. But then it would have just been a sweep by the Pistons. Gilbert is best with a chip on his shoulder and now there's a pretty big one. If he can find another gear, it will be time to put him in that true upper echelon of stars. Right now he's knocking on the door. In terms of a combination of scoring ability and speed, there's nobody better, and he has as much range on his jumper as anyone in the league. He's a great guy to have as local sports hero, since he's funny and loves the fans, doesn't scowl every second he's on the court and doesn't think he's the center of the universe since he's had everything handed to him since he was a kid.
The highlight of the game was probably when Brendan Haywood inadvertently -- although we'd like to think it was plenty on purpose -- kneed King James right where his balls would be if he had any. There was a pretty good comparison to be made between LeBron and these two kids sitting at courtside. These kids, about eight years old or so, were sitting in those sits right on the court, the ones that cost a thousand dollars. Not only were they in those seats, but they just happened to be sitting next to Clinton Portis and Brandon Lloyd. Not only that, but they won the Fan of the Game contest, which gives them a free Razr phone or something. Not only that, but they kept getting shown on the JumboTron repeatedly after that, which by the end led to many people in our section were even booing them by the end. And that's basically what LeBron is. There's nothing wrong with working the refs -- it's part of the game, everyone does it -- but he disputes everything. It's so tiresome and it's really not going to help him become the next MJ. I mean, Jordan at least earned the right to become an insufferable asshole by the end of his career. So far LeBron has finished second in the league in scoring and beat a team that won eight fewer games in a first round playoff series. Everyone's talking about this being the beginning of a new golden age of the NBA, and if you're a big fan, then it might be true. But when the league's two best player (Kobe being the other one) are such huge assholes, it's going to be tough.
As for the next round ... well, except for the Cavs/Wiz series, everything turned out the way I expected, which isn't saying much, since it was all the favorites coming out on top. Sure, it took a little longer than expected, mainly with the Suns and Lakers, also with the Spurs/Kings and Heat/Bulls, to an extent. But the best teams moved on and there should be some nice matchups.
Pistons/Cavs
If LeBron thinks he proved anything by beating the Wizards ... well he's in for it now. Let's see how he fares against a team that does that thing ... what is it ... right -- play defense. Everyone made a big deal about Brendan Haywood's semi-clothesline of LeBron in game two. He'll be lucky if Ben Wallace gets through the first half without laying into him. If the Bucks were able to pull out a 20-point win at home against the Pistons, the Cavs should be able to nab one victory as well, but that's it. Pistons quite easily in five.
Heat/Nets
I'm really not looking forward to this series. Two teams that just aren't too likable. Maybe Nenad Krstic read my first playoffs post, because he definitely came alive in the first round, but I've got this feeling it won't be as easy against Shaq, or even what passes for Shaq these days. It'd be nice if Dwyane Wade could make it through a playoffs without getting banged up. I'd like to see him come through with a huge series here just to remind people that he's at least damn close to LeBron. Heat in six.
Spurs/Mavs
I still worry about the Mavs' being legit, for whatever reason. They rolled over the Grizzlies, but that's not saying too much, as their main strength was defense, and the Mavs were better than them there and dominated them on offense. The Spurs are starting to remind me of the 03-04 Lakers team that everyone expected to just easily roll to the championship despite the fact that they never really kicked it into gear, and ended up needing lots of luck (Derek Fisher, Sam Cassell injury) to get the finals before being whacked by Detroit. Spurs in seven.
Suns/Clippers
The biggest choke of the first round certainly goes to Kobe and the Lakers. You're up 3-1, you have to win the series. I thought the Clippers would have an easy time with the Suns before the playoffs started and I'll stick with that. A Lakers/Clippers series would have been nice, but it also would have been a sweep. The Suns should be able to win a game, maybe even two, but this Clippers team is for real. Clippers in six.
--DM--
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